An Asteroid Has a 1-in-63 Chance of Hitting Earth in 2032—Here’s What That Means
A dive into probabilities, asteroid impact modeling, and what sort of damage an approximately 180-foot asteroid could cause on Earth.
![An Asteroid Has a 1-in-63 Chance of Hitting Earth in 2032—Here’s What That Means](https://gizmodo.com/app/uploads/2025/01/2024_YR4_ESO-VLT.gif)
![2024 YR4 as seen by the European Southern Observatory's Very Large Telescope.](https://gizmodo.com/app/uploads/2025/01/2024_YR4_ESO-VLT.gif)
A dive into probabilities, asteroid impact modeling, and what sort of damage an approximately 180-foot asteroid could cause on Earth.